Of the five drivers still mathematically in the hunt for the 2010 Drivers’ Championship crown, only Fernando Alonso is capable of wrapping up the title this weekend. But exactly what needs to happen for the Spaniard to take this third championship, and to repeat the feat of Kimi Räikkönen in doing so in his maiden season with Ferrari?
Well, Alonso needs to finish on the podium for a start, and then rely on the finishing positions of the other four drivers – Mark Webber, Sebastian Vettel, Lewis Hamilton and Jenson Button – to determine if the crown can be his this weekend.
The Spaniard enjoys a lead of 14 points over Webber, 21 points over Hamilton, 25 points over Hamilton, and a massive 42 over Button. There is a maximum of 50 points up for grabs over the remaining two races.
There are three possible scenarios under which Alonso could take the title for himself:
|1.||Alonso 1st||Webber 5th or lower|
|2.||Alonso 2nd||Webber 8th or lower, Hamilton 4th or lower, Vettel 2nd or lower|
|3.||Alonso 3rd||Webber 10th or lower, Hamilton 4th or lower, Vettel 4th or lower|
Button is – by his own admission, after qualifying 11th for today’s race – the least likely of the quintet to remain in the championship hunt after this weekend, and effectively needs to win with the other four all failing to finish in the points to stay in the hunt.
For Vettel, the man with the next longest odds of taking the title, he must outscore Alonso by at least 1 point, and score no more than 11 points fewer than Webber and 20 points fewer than Hamilton to remain in the championship. Failing to finish in the points will ensure he is knocked out of the reckoning.
In the Constructors’ Championship, Red Bull needs to outscore McLaren by 16 points this weekend to prevent a title decider at Abu Dhabi and take its first Constructors’ Championship crown.